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I am not sure how we can speak of realities when we haven't pulled the military out yet. However, I am sure that when we do, a body count chart might suffice to make the final determination. What I was saying is that since we will inevitably be blamed for all the bad that has and will happened post-overthrow, and we justly will, most americans would at least like to have the opportunity to try and make it better, even if it does not. You know, it is that "never say die" attitude we yanks have. So, just giving up is not something we are really good at. It has actually come in handy in some wars.
The best part of this is that you are talking about pulling out the US military and simply replacing them with another. Within your own statement, you acknowledged that no one likes an occupying force, so why would Iraq ever agree to a international or specific-national occupying force? The UN has already stated that it wants nothing to do with Iraq and I don't blame them at all. The UN voted not to go to war Iraq and was happy with the meaningless sanction route and it helps their budget if the US pays for it, so why get involved? Plus, why will another color uniform make it better?
Do we scrub the current Iraq government? If we did, how would the new one be formed? Can a new government be formed that represents the people evenly? I doubt it, as it will be impossible for that person to be Kurd, Sunni and Shite all at the same time. This is where I continually look back to Japan. They had to be totally dominated in order to set up an entirely new system of government. I have though a lot about this over passed several months and I cannot remember or find a time when a government was successfully established in this manner. The people never revolted against the dictator successfully. There was never a unifying act that brought all groups together against a common foe or a resolved civil war. Throughout history either coups by the people, total domination by an outside force or civil war has brought about lasting changes in government. Even the puppet governments were propped up by the people and not directly installed by an occupying force. This was basically tried in Vietnam and S. Korea. Vietnam fell apart immediately and S.Korea had military coups to steady its government. Unfortunately, I think a civil war and the establishment of another strong leader (hopefully more like Tito than Hussein) is going to have to happen here to bring stability, but that is my conclusion.
Arvhic, your "love" for Bush and all that is Bush has been well documented in a great many threads!
This is the ultimate catch 22. Leave and potentially watch the country go into a totally uncontrolled civil war. And if that happens, it will make the daily body count today look like simple traffic accident counts. Stay, and only delay the inevitable for the time when we leave. Absolutely no win here, regardless of what nations or conglommeration of nations forces is in Iraq.
There is no winning situation in any of this and that is very unfortunate.
The invasion actually went very well to plan. Hussein was overthrown quickly, but that is where things started to go wrong. It appears as though the plan was to simply overthrow him, shake the hands of all the democracy craved civillians, find the few that were ready to lead them to capitalistic bliss, give them month or two course on how to do it and a kiss on each cheek and say "good luck". I agree that the "after" part was incompetent at best and irresponsible, ignorant, reckless, naive are probably a good word to throw in there as well. Fear not, america will not be spearheading any conflicts soon and will have to be dragged into anything else other than Afghanistan.
The politicians who claim they were fooled into this war just amaze me. If they have access to all this data that shows how fooled they were...why didn't they ask for it before sending troops? Better yet...why didn't they demand it! Are they that spineless or simply blind followers? If so, would they really make a good president, senator or representative? In my job, if I agree with and buy off on what a engineer wants to do and it goes badly, I am held responsible. Should I claim that the engineer duped me into agreeing to his proposal, there will be little understanding in that from my superiors or the ones I report to - like a constituency. And I don't get paid nearly as well as they do! YOU made a bad decision and it was YOURS to make, so acknowledge it and maybe your constituency will be foolish enough to vote you back in or to a higher position.
The unfortunate part to the political portion of this discussion is that it does have a impact on Iraq. Democrats could simply shut large parts of the operation down now with refusal in send cash to cover the cost. Get all their members in line and they have the votes to do it. They do that and troops have to come home. Why don't they do this...they are concerned over the soldiers safety right? NO...at least not until after the first tuesday in November. So until then, the Democrats are happy giving Bush a little bit but not all of what he wants, so they can claim that they helped some (one way or another) and Iraq gets the status quo for the better part of a year.
Rather off topic, but... As I am only one american, this may not mean much, but I don't feel fooled or duped about getting into the war. I do feel ultimately let down by my government on the post-invasion preplanning that was poorly done at best. |
International Level: International Guru / Political Participation: 863 86.3%
I think the presence of US troops in Iraq is making very little difference. If anything, it is giving some insurgents a reason to exist. I don't think US troops should be totally pulled out, but most of the forces should be scaled back. The US is not liked in Iraq and most of the Middle East for that matter. This is reality. I know that is hard to accept for some people. It is even unfair, because the US troops have only tried their best to help the situation. But it is reality at the present time, just ask Iraqis how they feel about it.
I admire the "never say die attitude", I feel Australians have a similar attitude. But that isn't making Iraq any better. That is the problem. The intention isn't matching the result. Therefore, you have to consider other strategies.
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The best part of this is that you are talking about pulling out the US military and simply replacing them with another. Within your own statement, you acknowledged that no one likes an occupying force, so why would Iraq ever agree to a international or specific-national occupying force? |
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Do we scrub the current Iraq government? If we did, how would the new one be formed? Can a new government be formed that represents the people evenly? I doubt it, as it will be impossible for that person to be Kurd, Sunni and Shite all at the same time. |
International Level: Negotiator / Political Participation: 453 45.3%
Okay, so it is official now, 2008 they need to be out of there, but that is still about 19 months away - a long time if you are serving in Iraq.
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Breaking News: ABCNEWS HOUSE BILL CALLING FOR U.S. TROOP WITHDRAWAL PASSES 218-212; BUSH'S REACTION EXPECTED AT 1:45PM. LIVE COVERAGE ON ABC NEWS NOW |
International Level: International Guru / Political Participation: 3243 100%
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Fear not, america will not be spearheading any conflicts soon and will have to be dragged into anything else other than Afghanistan. |
International Level: Ambassador / Political Participation: 595 59.5%
Actually, I have been and still stand by what I have said. The US is not going into Iran. They are going to let the UN come to whatever arrangement they can get, which will be nothing and Iran will have a nuke fairly soon, potentially, by the time we are scheduled to leave Iraq. The only satisfaction the US will have is that the UN was unable to do anything about it, because they were unable to agree to do anything.
19 months and we are out of Iraq. Well, that is a long ways away and certainly not the immediate withdrawl that was promised by the Democrats. If I use their own campaign rhetoric, they are willing to sacrifice another approximate 2000 lives for the cause. There was no way that the US could just pull out of Iraq immediately. We can look at this in 2 ways. First, we can hope that the sectarian violence ends and the government takes strong holds throughout the country in 19 months, thus making the exit a non-event. This would be nice and I really hope it happens. However, this could just be buying 19 more months until a undesirable decision has to be made. That decision could be to leave a unstable government that will fall into civil war with sectarian violence or genocide being the result. Really do hope we just aren't buying time.
International Level: International Guru / Political Participation: 863 86.3%
As has been mentioned before, circling a date on a calendar is just buying time. They will be shooting at us as we retreat, every step of the way. It's not going to be pretty, and I personally believe that the entire region will fall into war before the US troops are gone.
Rather off topic, but... Part of the problem is that the US wasn't ever "there" enough; the military presence has not been a big enough show of strength. That can be blamed on several issues, but mainly the fact that the military budget is now so limited as to be ridiculous. Back in the 1950s, the military budget was 60% of total government spending; now it's 20%. What's 60% now? Welfare and other entitlement payments. |
International Level: Ambassador / Political Participation: 595 59.5%