Did you see that rally today? Wowzers! How exciting The "talk" says we'll go up to 10,000 --- -maybe even 11,000! ---- before it starts to slide again after the elections.
I love this stuff.
International Level: Ambassador / Political Participation: 595 59.5%
They have a lot of tricks up their sleeves. I think it is coming to an end. People aren't looking at the job losses in manufacturing. The very backbone of the economy. I am surprised it is still floating.
They will get the reports from the department stores after christmas and I don't think they will be good. It might be enough to do the economy in. I really hope we got another 2 to 4 years though. I am afraid that is just not realistic though.
Edited: Quasar on 29th Oct, 2008 - 9:09pm
I think it will be enough to see what is going to happen here the day after thanksgiving when most retail stores have their best day. IF that is a down day that could answer a lot of questions. These triple digit days are getting to a person who follows this all the time.
The analysts I read regularly (Landry... Goulding... Ure... those Elliot Wave guys, etc.) are predicting a bounce, possibly up to as high as 10 - 11,000 in the next couple of months... then a big drop after the first of the year, maybe in the spring, will come the major slide down to Dow 770 (yes, that's seven-hundred-seventy). One guy got all of his clients OUT of the market when it was at 13,000 and into bonds and treasury notes. He says it's not about making money right now but preservation of capital.
Me? I don't have enough money to worry about losing it
International Level: Ambassador / Political Participation: 595 59.5%
QUOTE |
will come the major slide down to Dow 770 |
If you look at the historical data for the DJIA, it's only been about 20 years since it rose over 1,000. It's not that difficult to imagine it under that level again.
Greenspan called it "irrational exuberance" back in the 90's tech bubble. That mindset has never really backed off, even after the mini-crash of 2000.
Sure, Klar, your stocks will still be around -- at least on paper. But they may be only worth papering your dining room.
International Level: Ambassador / Political Participation: 595 59.5%