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How does CNN make election projections? (CNN) -- To project an election, CNN and its election experts use scientific statistical procedures to make estimates of the final vote count in each race. CNN will broadcast a projected winner only after an extensive review of data from a number of sources. CNN editorial policy strictly prohibits reporting winners or characterizing the outcome of a statewide contest in any state before all the polls are scheduled to close in every precinct in that state. CNN will receive information from the following sources: The Associated Press: The Associated Press will provide vote totals for each race. The AP will be gathering numbers via stringers based in each county or other jurisdiction where votes are tabulated. Edison Media Research: To assist CNN in collecting and evaluating this information, CNN, the other television networks and the Associated Press have employed Edison Media Research (EMR). In previous elections, this firm has assisted CNN in projecting winners in state and national races. EMR will conduct exit polls, which ask voters their opinion on a variety of relevant issues, determine how they voted, and ask a number of demographic questions to allow analysis of voting patterns by group. Using exit poll results, scientifically selected representative precincts, vote results from the AP, and a number of sophisticated analysis techniques, EMR also recommends projections of a winner for each race it covers. |
International Level: Ambassador / Political Participation: 595 59.5%
DEMS TAKE HOUSE AS GOP CLINGS TO SENATE, CNN PROJECTS
Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives for the first time since the 1994 Republican revolution, while control of the Senate hangs in the balance, CNN projects.
Ref. https://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/11/07/ele...main/index.html
This is hardly a surprising result based on the popularity of Bush and the scandals that have rocked his party. But one thing that annoys me about US politics, its all about image and never about policy.
I saw some of the TV advertisements for these mid-terms by both parties and they were gutter trash. Does any of these ads actually promote party policy? It amazes me that so much money can be wasted on telling people not to vote for the other guys, while so little attention is spent on highlighting why you should vote for us. It seems, from the outside, to be a childish game of boxing where the red and blue corners are always taking cheap shots at one another without trying to produce knockout policies to win.
I would also be interested in hearing from US forum members whether they value mid-term elections? When US citizens went to the polls to vote in Bush for a second term, doesn't he deserve to have his four year platform, with whatever balance of power was present? Now that Democrats control both houses you have this ludicrous situation where the Republicans won't be able to govern the country the way they intended, the way the US citizens voted them in power to do so. Regardless of whether I agree or disagree with their policies, it seems like a pointless situation.
International Level: Negotiator / Political Participation: 453 45.3%
On the one hand, I agree that mid-term elections are a ridiculous waste of time and taxpayer money, and as you pointed out, it hamstrings the president in his last two years if the other party takes control. However, if it's a president that has been ineffectual, if the party in control has had all their dirty little secrets revealed, then it's an opportunity to make a change without having to wait another two years.
Rather off topic, but... I loathe dirty politics. Even our little town has mudslinging going on, and because I happen to be in close association with some of the "movers and shakers" I get to see just how dirty it can be. This time, they actually asked for my opinion on one piece - someone had abused his family and it was well documented in public records from the divorce, and the opposing party wanted to do "robo-calls" to the voters in his district about it. It was awful! I quite adamantly told them my opinion of bringing in the man's already traumatized ex-wife and children into the public arena, just so they could get a "dig" in before the election. What rot! How low can you go, guys? (They didn't run the calls, but I doubt it was because of my opinion. Probably cost too much ) |
International Level: Ambassador / Political Participation: 595 59.5%
I can't remember who said that Democrats did not win but Republicans lost. I find this to be true. It seems to me that people voted for Democrats because they are unhappy with the current administration. Even Bush admitted he is in part responsible for the loss. The war in Iraq seems to be the reason Democrats won.
International Level: International Guru / Political Participation: 1089 100%
Quote=Farseer
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we can all sing that familiar song "Meet the new boss, same as the old boss." |
International Level: Politician / Political Participation: 102 10.2%
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We all know both sides had their stinkers, but when one week before the election a cute little honey accused a Republican of attempted rape in a building the security cameras proved he was never in? The Democrats must sit around and invent new ways to smear the other side. |
International Level: International Guru / Political Participation: 1089 100%
Democrats Seize Control of House in Widespread Voter Rejection of President Bush and Iraq War, Senate Hangs on Virginia and Montana
The Democrats have seized control of the House for the first time in 12 years and could also take control of the Senate if they hold on to win two tight races in Montana and Virginia. Tuesday's election marked a major
defeat for the Bush administration and its Iraq war policy.
Ref. https://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=06/11/08/1457236