U. S. Elections 2006 - Page 2 of 7

Democrats Seize Control of House in Widespread - Page 2 - Politics, Business, Civil, History - Posted: 8th Nov, 2006 - 9:56pm

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How do you predict the turnout?
8th Nov, 2006 - 4:39am / Post ID: #

U. S. Elections 2006 - Page 2

QUOTE
How does CNN make election projections?

(CNN) -- To project an election, CNN and its election experts use scientific statistical procedures to make estimates of the final vote count in each race. CNN will broadcast a projected winner only after an extensive review of data from a number of sources.

CNN editorial policy strictly prohibits reporting winners or characterizing the outcome of a statewide contest in any state before all the polls are scheduled to close in every precinct in that state.

CNN will receive information from the following sources:

    The Associated Press: The Associated Press will provide vote totals for each race. The AP will be gathering numbers via stringers based in each county or other jurisdiction where votes are tabulated.

    Edison Media Research: To assist CNN in collecting and evaluating this information, CNN, the other television networks and the Associated Press have employed Edison Media Research (EMR). In previous elections, this firm has assisted CNN in projecting winners in state and national races. EMR will conduct exit polls, which ask voters their opinion on a variety of relevant issues, determine how they voted, and ask a number of demographic questions to allow analysis of voting patterns by group.

Using exit poll results, scientifically selected representative precincts, vote results from the AP, and a number of sophisticated analysis techniques, EMR also recommends projections of a winner for each race it covers.


Etc. etc., there's more. I think it's interesting that CNN is making projections when only 1% or 2% of the voting data has even been reported -- at least for the California races. We'll see where it all lands in the morning.

Personally, since I feel that the Republicans and Democrats are all just different shades of the same color, we can all sing that familiar song "Meet the new boss, same as the old boss."


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Post Date: 8th Nov, 2006 - 11:13am / Post ID: #

NOTE: News [?]

Elections S U

DEMS TAKE HOUSE AS GOP CLINGS TO SENATE, CNN PROJECTS

Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives for the first time since the 1994 Republican revolution, while control of the Senate hangs in the balance, CNN projects.
Ref. https://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/11/07/ele...main/index.html



DEMOCRATS TO TAKE CONTROL OF HOUSE, CNN PROJECTS

Democrats picked up at least 27 seats in voting for the House of Representatives on Election Day, enough to take control when Congress is seated in January, CNN projected.
Ref. https://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/11/07/ele...ouse/index.html

8th Nov, 2006 - 12:45pm / Post ID: #

U. S. Elections 2006 History & Civil Business Politics

This is hardly a surprising result based on the popularity of Bush and the scandals that have rocked his party. But one thing that annoys me about US politics, its all about image and never about policy.

I saw some of the TV advertisements for these mid-terms by both parties and they were gutter trash. Does any of these ads actually promote party policy? It amazes me that so much money can be wasted on telling people not to vote for the other guys, while so little attention is spent on highlighting why you should vote for us. It seems, from the outside, to be a childish game of boxing where the red and blue corners are always taking cheap shots at one another without trying to produce knockout policies to win.

I would also be interested in hearing from US forum members whether they value mid-term elections? When US citizens went to the polls to vote in Bush for a second term, doesn't he deserve to have his four year platform, with whatever balance of power was present? Now that Democrats control both houses you have this ludicrous situation where the Republicans won't be able to govern the country the way they intended, the way the US citizens voted them in power to do so. Regardless of whether I agree or disagree with their policies, it seems like a pointless situation.


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8th Nov, 2006 - 2:52pm / Post ID: #

Page 2 Elections S U

On the one hand, I agree that mid-term elections are a ridiculous waste of time and taxpayer money, and as you pointed out, it hamstrings the president in his last two years if the other party takes control. However, if it's a president that has been ineffectual, if the party in control has had all their dirty little secrets revealed, then it's an opportunity to make a change without having to wait another two years.

Rather off topic, but...
I loathe dirty politics. Even our little town has mudslinging going on, and because I happen to be in close association with some of the "movers and shakers" I get to see just how dirty it can be. This time, they actually asked for my opinion on one piece - someone had abused his family and it was well documented in public records from the divorce, and the opposing party wanted to do "robo-calls" to the voters in his district about it. It was awful! I quite adamantly told them my opinion of bringing in the man's already traumatized ex-wife and children into the public arena, just so they could get a "dig" in before the election. What rot! How low can you go, guys? (They didn't run the calls, but I doubt it was because of my opinion. Probably cost too much wink.gif )


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8th Nov, 2006 - 7:55pm / Post ID: #

Elections S U

I can't remember who said that Democrats did not win but Republicans lost. I find this to be true. It seems to me that people voted for Democrats because they are unhappy with the current administration. Even Bush admitted he is in part responsible for the loss. The war in Iraq seems to be the reason Democrats won.


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8th Nov, 2006 - 8:16pm / Post ID: #

U. S. Elections 2006

Quote=Farseer

QUOTE
we can all sing that familiar song "Meet the new boss, same as the old boss."

I have a hard time swallowing this election, not because a new party is in power, but because they stand for everything I dislike. The difference in the two is the Republicans were doing nothing and going nowhere, so they had no message. The Democrats have a very definite agenda, but you heard very little of it except, "Get out of Iraq." Last night the Democrats beat something with nothing. Their main message was, "Vote for us, the other guy has been in power too long.

Actually conservatism won last night. Nancy Pilosi recruited conservative Democrats to run, then shut up and got out of their way. The Democrats could not have won last night running as liberals. Since they won and Nancy contributed to their campaigns, she will jerk them into line because they "owe" her. Talk about voter fraud!

Conservatives hunger for ideological leadership and we're not getting it from the top. I have always felt Bush is a liberal in Republican's clothes and he just proved me right. Bush called Nancy Pilosi this morning and threw in the towel, then he threw Rumsfeld under the bus. He probably told her, "Whatever you want, you got it." Then Dennis Hastert resigned as speaker. Who's next, Dick Cheney, Condoleza Rice, John Bolton?

It's hard to look forward to a time when conservatism might win again after the last 6 years. The Democrats screamed Bush stole the election when they had pulled every nasty trick they could think of, like not counting the armed forces votes. Then they started a hate Bush campaign that has lasted 6 years. But I believe the real turning point was when they took Tom DeLay to court, and since he was accused, he couldn't be speaker of the house. He was cleaning their clock, so they had to get rid of him some way, and they did.

We all know both sides had their stinkers, but when one week before the election a cute little honey accused a Republican of attempted rape in a building the security cameras proved he was never in? The Democrats must sit around and invent new ways to smear the other side.

Now some bench marks from my favorite talk show. We've had no attack since 911. Gasoline is $2.08 a gallon average nation wide. There have been tax cuts and an increase in take home pay. Unemployment is very low at 4.4%. And the Dow Jones is at a record high. If any one of these goes south we'll know why.


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8th Nov, 2006 - 9:14pm / Post ID: #

U. S. Elections 2006 - Page 2

QUOTE
We all know both sides had their stinkers, but when one week before the election a cute little honey accused a Republican of attempted rape in a building the security cameras proved he was never in? The Democrats must sit around and invent new ways to smear the other side.


Really? Then why the President said the Democrats ran a "civilized" campaign? That sounds far from civilized to me.


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Post Date: 8th Nov, 2006 - 9:56pm / Post ID: #

NOTE: News [?]

U. S. Elections 2006 Politics Business Civil & History - Page 2

Democrats Seize Control of House in Widespread Voter Rejection of President Bush and Iraq War, Senate Hangs on Virginia and Montana

The Democrats have seized control of the House for the first time in 12 years and could also take control of the Senate if they hold on to win two tight races in Montana and Virginia. Tuesday's election marked a major
defeat for the Bush administration and its Iraq war policy.
Ref. https://www.democracynow.org/article.pl?sid=06/11/08/1457236

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