
Name: Student
Comments: Thanks so much for answering. Just one more quick question, does the current KMT look like they will accept China's offer?
Actually, China has not offered this yet...they are considering it.
The KMT is play in delicate game (in my opinion) with the Chinese. The KMT is very much pro relationship improvement (trade, travel, cultural, etc...). This runs throughout the organization. However, the choice of giving up sovereignty is not a desirable one for many in the organization. It seems to me that they want the status quo but they want the benefits of being close in relations because they see the juggernaut that the Chinese economy is and they don't want to be left out of opportunities that will come from improved relations.
The game comes in the fact that at some point with all the benefits that Taiwan gets from the interaction will be met with a question about reunification. They have done a great job of tap dancing around that issue so far in order to keep the desired status quo. However, the more they interact, the more this topic will naturally surface. Someday, China will either drop it (basically when capitalism destroys communism) or for a decision (when they have a big enough navy and military to win easily against Taiwan). Edited: Vincenzo on 11th Mar, 2010 - 7:33am
International Level: International Guru / Political Participation: 863 86.3%
Sad enough you never know the true political direction of any country's leadership. In the front they may be saying one thing and on the other hand in the background they are having dealings with the 'enemy'. For certain China will have a definite interest in Taiwanese Politics and paid a lot to get a man in there already.
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I really don't think there was a lot of Chinese money that got the KMT back into power, it was more of a failure of the previous DPP administration (previous president Chen is now serving a life in prison sentence). Taiwan's politics are pretty close to the US actually. Both parties don't have that much that separates them, but those small differences are always blown out of proportion. The KMT is totally for keeping the status-quo between the countries with regards to the reunification. This means they like the sovereign government that they without totally claiming independence from China. They do want more Chinese trade and tourism money. The DPP wants the trade and tourism money, but they also want to claim and have China acknowledge the country as independent.
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I believe money and secrecy pulls more than is apparent that is how infiltration works. You have the party that may be preaching unification that everyone knows and then you have the party that is against it and in that same party is the guy who is payed off to look like he is against the Chinese. When he gets into power he talks like he is against the Chinese but softly puts things in motion to either feed information back to Chinese or have long term viruses placed at strategic places for when the time is right for insurrection or whatever else. I do not think any government is impenetrable just because the general populace seems to think they are so well protected. Taiwan is a sore spot for the Chinese because it make the Chinese look like they cannot control their own. Not to mention the physical proximity to them, it provides opportunity for enemies to assemble.
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Actually, what I am saying is that there is really no party that totally preaches reunification. The KMT are interested in renewing more trade ties, but not that much interested in total reunification (there are some in the party that are for it, but it is not really the platform) and thus the dangerous dance that they play. China will someday want something for the benefits the increased trade is giving to Taiwan...at that point the KMT will have to show its true goal of maintaining the status quo or pushing the one state - two systems proposal that may be forth coming from China. The one state - two systems is pretty close to what is in effect today. The DPP wants the trade money too, but will never want either the one state - two systems approach or reunification outright.
Taiwan is no problem as long as they do not officially claim independence. The DPP used to rile up the Chinese by periodically talking independence but not declaring it. The KMT makes no claim, but likes it the way it is. Honestly, neither party wants to go back to China as is...
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That is 110% of what I am saying. The Taiwanese government, either party, cannot declare independence from China. This is what is referred to as the status-quo on the situation. Taiwan does everything that a free country would with few exceptions. They have their own government, military, laws and customs. However, they cannot declare independence as China threatens war. China has military manuevers in the Taiwan Strait almost yearly. In military hardware and various senarios, Taiwan could likely repel a attack from China at this point (although that is rapidly becoming less likely as China actually builds a navy), but it would be at a great cost to the infrastructure of the country, so would it really be a win? They arent interested in finding out because their people like their lives as is right now...the status quo...so the answer is both war and economic.
Not only that, instability in the region is something not wanted by most of the G10, so Taiwan gets pressure to maintain the status quo of not claiming independence. This is fine in general with the government as that is what the people of Taiwan would pefer. However, the Taiwanese government does use this as a way to get military support and sales from foreign governments...as they should.
International Level: International Guru / Political Participation: 863 86.3%