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Politics - The Next US President? - Page 24

yes bush will be re-elected. he seems to know more about things as well as willing to go in and do the job. the only thing I don't care for si the massave amount of money he wants to spend on Iraq.
Kerry flip flops to much and has a very bad record on his voteing. pluss hiw wife is a big hindersnce to everybody.

President US The Politics

Wayned, those are some harsh statements, to be constructive you should at least say why his wife is a hinderance.

Offtopic but, TIP: You may wish to run the spell check before posting.

Politics - The Next US President? History & Civil Business Politics

Electoral College Projection: President Bush Will Defeat John Kerry 286 to 252

Washington, DC (LifeNews.com) -- With the presidential election on Tuesday, just about everyone has an electoral college prediction. Most are skewed one direction or the other depending on the favorite candidate of the one making the prognostication. Adding the electoral vote totals, I'm projecting Bush to win by a 286 to 252 margin. My projections assume Bush will win Florida and Ohio, pick up New Mexico and Iowa from Kerry and lose New Hampshire. There is a scenario where Bush could lose either Florida or Ohio and still win. That requires him to win in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania or Michigan. Also, if Bush loses Ohio and picks up any other tossup state I have projected for Kerry, he still wins. The electoral college race definitely gives Bush an advantage. Kerry has too many tossup states that Bush has a chance of capturing as seven of the eleven are states Gore won. As I've indicated, Kerry can win Ohio and Pennsylvania and still lose the election. Bush even has a chance to declare not just a victory but a strong mandate for a second term from the American people. In addition to his projected 286 electoral votes, a Bush win in Pennsylvania or Michigan or a combination of two other tossup states gives him more than 300 electoral votes. With only days to go, much could change, admittedly. The effects of the Osama bin Ladin tape are unclear, though early analysis seems to indicate it will either have no effect or help the president slightly because so many voters give him higher ratings on combating terrorism. In the end, Bush has the advantage and appears headed to a re-election victory
Ref. https://m1e.net/c?31560491-dRiL/NXcocP4A%40...6-SBQu0IpVktLDo

Page 24 President US The Politics

It seems like this election is going to be full of controversy, I am glad I am not a US Citizen and have to worry about if my vote is really going to count or not.

Teacher Kicks Student Wearing GOP Shirt
Fort Lewis Student Was Member Of College Republicans

DURANGO, Colo. -- A part-time college instructor has apologized for kicking a student wearing a Republican sweatshirt in an off-campus incident.

Fort Lewis College student Mark O'Donnell said he was showing people his College Republicans sweatshirt, which said "Work for us now ... or work for us later," when Maria Spero kicked him.

After kicking him, Spero said "she should have kicked me harder and higher," said O'Donnell. In a police report, O'Donnell said Spero kicked him in the right calf.
Ref. https://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/3876693/detail.html

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VOTE-COUNT PROCESS WORRIES AMERICANS

The nation is girding for Tuesday's presidential election worried about the integrity of the voting system, divided over the legitimacy of President George W. Bush's election four years ago and anxious about the future no matter who wins the contest, according to the final New York Times/CBS News Poll of the 2004 campaign.
Ref. https://deseretnews.com/dn/view/1%2C1249%2C...02224%2C00.html

President US The Politics

The Electoral College is what determines the election. Each state has a certain number of Electoral Votes based on the number of Senators and Representatives, currently the total is 538. The winning candidate must have a minimum of 270 Electoral votes in their favor.

Here's more information on the Electoral College:
https://www.fec.gov/pages/ecmenu2.htm

Supposedly, it's all based on the popular vote, but I have my doubts about that.

This is one of the most hotly contested, closest races in recent memory. People on both sides are very passionate about the candidate of their choice. It's very intriguing to me to see the dynamics between opposing camps.

May God have mercy on us all.

Politics - The Next US President?

Yes, there is a post about this in the Activism board that discusses if this process is really a fair one since a representative can say he will vote for 'x' person and really vote for 'y' person.

Politics The US President - Page 24

TENSION-PACKED COUNT: BUSH WINS FLORIDA; KERRY HANGS ON

President Bush and challenger John Kerry sweated out a tension-packed conclusion to the race between an embattled incumbent and a Democrat who questioned the war he waged in Iraq and the many jobs lost at home.
Ref. https://deseretnews.com/dn/view/1%2C1249%2C...02755%2C00.html

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U.S. election hangs on Ohio

President Bush appears on the cusp of winning a second term, building a popular vote lead of more than 3.7 million votes and moving close to an Electoral College majority. The outcome hinges on the result in Ohio, where Bush is leading, but the result is still too close to call.
Ref. https://www.cnn.com

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Bush chief of staff: "We are convinced President Bush has won reelection with at least 286 Electoral College votes" and the popular vote.
ref. https://CNN.com

Politics The US President Politics Business Civil & History - Page 24

Ohio really is an interesting situation. At the moment, by the official vote, President Bush is ahead by 140,000 votes. However, there are between 150,000 to 200,000 provisional ballots uncounted. This is what John Kerry is hanging all of his hopes upon.

I believe that the absentee ballots, including the military absentee ballots are also uncounted, and not included in the provisional numbers.

If we give John Kerry the benefit of the doubt, and say that there are 200,000 provisional ballots yet uncounted, 170,000+ of them would have to have been cast for him in order for him to win. If there are 150,000, he would have to win 145,000 of them, just to tie.

Statistically, this is impossible. While I haven't run the numbers, I would say that the probability of John Kerry getting Ohio from this situation is less than .001 (less than 1%) - unless there is massive fraud within the provisional ballots. By all statistical methods, the provisional ballots should follow the distribution of the rest of the population. This would mean that approximately 50% of the provisional ballots should go to each candidate. (I think Ohio is currently 51% Bush, 48% Kerry).