The whole thing really reminds me of Yugoslavia. Yugoslavia was a relatively quiet country under Tito's watchful thumb. Tito was able to keep 3 groups (Serbians, Bosnians and Croatians) that hated each other under control and peaceful. Perhaps this was Saddam's position. The only thing about Tito was that he was far less oppressive then Saddam. Tito's people enjoyed more freedom under socialism that most of the Russian satellites. However, we all know what happened after Tito died... Interesting how history repeats itself.
Konquerez, I certainly do see a Kurdistan, Shiistan and Sunnistan in the future. My biggest fear is that there will be one less of them by the time they get around to drawing the boarders.
Arhvic, it certainly is a fine mess.
What I was trying to point out was that the UN had threatened "serious penalties" for a dozen years. I expect that the US President will have a plan ready to enact those "serious penalties" even if we don't use them. Bush Sr, Clinton and GWB's administrations had invasion plans. I am sure all of the tried to secure the oil wells to protect the US economy. That said, someone finding a map of Iraq oil well locations on Cheney's desk doesn't shock me in the least. I suspect there was at least one person in each of the mentioned administrations that had drawn up a invasion senario. I expect that the US President will have these plans because if the UN decides to go in, the US will supply the majority of the support. I just don't see this as a big Cheney-Haliburton Invasion for Oil Scam. I am sure we will never agree on that...
I did a bit of reading on Mr Ritter (used google though...personal preference). He is not exactly the most reliable resource, although he certainly would be knowledgible. Mr. Ritter:
QUOTE |
In 1998, you said Saddam had "not nearly disarmed." Now you say he doesn't have weapons of mass destruction (WMD). Why did you change your mind? I have never given Iraq a clean bill of health! Never! Never! I've said that no one has backed up any allegations that Iraq has reconstituted WMD capability with anything that remotely resembles substantive fact. To say that Saddam's doing it is in total disregard to the fact that if he gets caught he's a dead man and he knows it. Deterrence has been adequate in the absence of inspectors but this is not a situation that can succeed in the long term. In the long term you have to get inspectors back in. Iraq's borders are porous. Why couldn't Saddam have obtained the capacity to produce WMD since 1998 when the weapons inspectors left? I am more aware than any UN official that Iraq has set up covert procurement funds to violate sanctions. This was true in 1997-1998, and I'm sure its true today. Of course Iraq can do this. The question is, has someone found that what Iraq has done goes beyond simple sanctions violations? We have tremendous capabilities to detect any effort by Iraq to obtain prohibited capability. The fact that no one has shown that he has acquired that capability doesn't necessarily translate into incompetence on the part of the intelligence community. It may mean that he hasn't done anything. Are you being investigated for espionage? I've been called a spy of Israel since 1996, and since I made my documentary film in 2000 the FBI has investigated me as an agent of Iraq. The FBI has also opened up an investigation into my wife calling her a KGB spy. So there is this form of harassment taking place. |
QUOTE |
But in 1999, Ritter confounded get-Saddam hawks who thought he was in their camp when he published "Endgame: Solving the Iraq Problem -- Once and for All." In it, Ritter repeated his charge that UNSCOM's mission had ultimately been compromised by Washington's use of the inspections to spy on Saddam. But the bombshells were his assertion that Iraq was no longer a military threat and his call for the U.S. to quickly give Iraq a clean bill of health and lift its harsh sanctions, which he asserted were killing thousands of innocent Iraqi children. His solution: a Marshall plan to rebuild the country. Ritter seems to have completely reversed himself regarding Iraq's ability to acquire weapons of mass destruction. In 1998 he warned a joint hearing of the Senate Armed Services and Foreign Relations committees that "Iraq will be able to reconstitute the entirety of its former nuclear, chemical and ballistic missile delivery system capabilities within a period of six months." And in a December 1998 article for the New Republic, Ritter stated, "Even today, Iraq is not nearly disarmed." Yet he now says Iraq's weapons of mass destruction are largely dismantled and pose little or no threat. |
QUOTE |
The latter task, though not often focused upon, is highly significant and not controversial. It will require monitoring which is ongoing, that is open-ended, until the Council decides otherwise. By contrast, the task of disarmament foreseen in Resolution 687 and the progress on key remaining disarmament tasks foreseen in Resolution 1284, as well as the disarmament obligations which Iraq was given a final opportunity to comply with under Resolution 1441, were always required to be fulfilled in a shorter time span. Regrettably, the high degree of cooperation required of Iraq for disarmament through inspection was not forthcoming in 1991. Despite the elimination under UNSCOM and the IAEA supervision of large amounts of weapons, weapons-related items and installations over the years, the task remained incomplete when inspectors were withdrawn almost eight years later, at the end of 1998. If Iraq had provided the necessary cooperation in 1991, the phase of disarmament under Resolution 687 could have been short and a decade of sanctions could have been avoided. Today, three months after the adoption of Resolution 1441, the period of disarmament through inspection could still be short if, I quote, "immediate, active and unconditional cooperation," unquote, with UNMOVIC and the IAEA were to be forthcoming. |
International Level: International Guru / Political Participation: 863 86.3%
Vincenzo I agree with a lot of what you say. I have no doubt all the US presidents who dealt with Saddam after he wasn't an ally had a similar plan.
But don't underestimate Blix. If anything, he was pulled by the UN (read: the US) to find weapons. He asked for more time because he knew Iraq had nothing. Yes, he had that on his head, but he is also a professional who wont compromise his career for the sake of a hawkish US president. And good on him for it. Blix knew there was no WMDs, he also knew Bush's excuse for invading was nonsense. So why should he put his professional reputation on the line?
I sure as hell wouldn't.
QUOTE |
Sounds like he got a bit too personally involved. The people that lost their lives because of the starvation is truly bad, but that is not what he job was in Iraq. His job was to inspect for weapons. Seems like he realized that there was no chance that Iraq would comply fully, so this was his idea. |
International Level: Negotiator / Political Participation: 453 45.3%
STORM OVER BLAIR 'IRAQ DISASTER' REMARKS
British Prime Minister Tony Blair provoked a storm Saturday after apparently admitting that the invasion of Iraq by the United States and Britain was "a disaster."
Ref. https://www.cnn.com/2006/WORLD/meast/11/18/...lair/index.html
QUOTE (JB @ 15-Apr 03, 12:29 PM) |
This may seem like a dumb question but I often wonder about these parts of the war... - How often do soldiers shower? Being in that sun all day with all that equipment must make you stink' - How much does an average pack, equipment, etc weigh on a soldier - Does a truck carry their water? Can't imagine carrying water for all those miles - How do they use the 'toilet' and how would women handle that? How would they handle 'time of the month' in those situations? |
Even the citizens in Iraq are getting upset now. They are tired of being told that its not a Sectarian war when it is. Its extremely obvious now that Sunni and Shiite clans are opening declaring war on each other. To bad it took that for people to see what it is over their now. Two sects that have always hated each other, the Sunni's and the Shiites are now in a civil war that was only prevented by a strong dictator named Saddam Hussein. Not that he was good by any means, but he held the country together by force. Now, it looks like that won't even be possible. Both sects are now running suicide bombings on each other! The latest threat was by the Shiites who vowed vengeance against the Sunni for the recent execution of two Shiite politicians in front of their children. This is what they want, the death of the other group. They don't want us there any more. If they wanted us there before, they don't know, by their own words. To add, several of the suicide bombings have been by the "thankful" Iraqis who come up "thanking us" then blow themselves up. They aren't dancing in the streets for us anymore, they are dancing on our graves.
HILLSIDE CROSSES MARKING FALLEN SOLDIERS STIR DEBATE
Hundreds of white wooden crosses planted on a quiet suburban hillside have prompted a debate over whether they honor or exploit the memory of troops killed in Iraq.
Ref. https://www.cnn.com/2006/LAW/11/29/hillside...s.ap/index.html
IRAQ STUDY GROUP: PULL MOST TROOPS FROM COMBAT BY '08
In a highly anticipated report being released Wednesday, the Iraq Study Group will call for a dramatic shift in war policy by urging the Bush administration to set a target of moving most U.S. troops out of their combat roles by early 2008, according to two sources who have seen the executive summary of the report.
Ref. https://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/12/06/ira...roup/index.html
A more honest assessment of Iraq draws cheers
After almost four years of prickly denials from Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld that anything was wrong with the Pentagon's plan in Iraq, it was refreshing Tuesday to hear his successor acknowledge that things are not going so well. During a Senate confirmation hearing, Robert Gates conceded that U.S. forces aren't winning and that new approaches need to be considered.
Ref. Read More...